Daily Mining Math Benchmark

Validates MineCast's base-layer daily calculations against two independent external sources: WhatToMine and Blockchain.info — all using the same normalized BTC price for a fair comparison. If daily numbers align, the core formulas are solid. Any divergence in long-term projections is from MineCast's forecasting assumptions — which is the point.

Fetches live BTC price & network data, then compares outputs.
Frozen Benchmark Inputs
≤ ±5% difference
≤ ±10% difference
> ±10% difference
N/A (source unavailable)
Overall Verdict
Methodology

What's being tested

  • 3 miners — one per risk scenario default (Conservative, Moderate, Aggressive)
  • Daily BTC mined, daily revenue, daily electricity cost, daily net profit
  • Break-even days based on hardware cost ÷ daily net profit
  • WhatToMine + Blockchain.info as independent external references
  • All three sources run with identical BTC price + inputs

Standardized inputs

  • BTC price: live spot from CoinGecko
  • Network hashrate: live from mempool.space
  • Electricity: $0.05/kWh (Cambridge CBECI benchmark)
  • Pool fee: 2%
  • Uptime: 100% (no penalty — raw base math)
  • PUE: 1.0 (ASICs only — no facility overhead)
ℹ️ Formula alignment: MineCast, WhatToMine, and Blockchain.info all use the hashrate-share formula (minerHashrate ÷ networkHashrate) × 144 blocks × reward. This reflects current competition in real time — more accurate than the canonical difficulty formula during the weeks between difficulty adjustments when network hashrate has grown. BTC price is normalized across all three columns so revenue comparisons are apples-to-apples.